Report on
U.S. Holdings of
Foreign Long-Term Securities
as of December 31, 1997,
and December 31, 1999
Office of the Assistant Secretary, International Affairs
Department of the Treasury
Division of International Finance
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
April 2000
CONTENTS
Introduction...............................................................................................................................1
Chapter 1. Findings from the 1997 Survey..................................................................................3
Chapter 2. U. S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities
as of December 31,
1999.......................................................................................22
Chapter 3. Survey Methodology...............................................................................................26
Tables
1. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Country and Type
of Security, as of December 31,
1997.....................................................................................4
2. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Type of Security,
for the Top Ten Countries of Investment and the Rest of the World, as
of
December 31,
1997...............................................................................................................7
3. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities for the Top Ten
Countries and the Rest of the World, as of March 31, 1994, and
December 31,
1997...............................................................................................................8
4. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Positions,
Adjusted Transactions, and Resulting Differences,
as of March 31, 1994, and December 31,
1997......................................................................9
5. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities and Foreign Holdings
of U.S. Long-Term Securities,
1984-97................................................................................10
6. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Equities, by Country of Investment, Amount
Held, and Amount Held in U.S.-Traded Securities, for the Top Ten
Countries of Investment and the Rest of the World, as of
December 31,
1997.............................................................................................................11
7. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Country,
Amount Held, Amount Held Issued in the United States, and Amount
Denominated in U.S. Dollars, for the Top Ten Countries of Investment
and the Rest of the World, as of December 31,
1997............................................................12
- i -
8. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Country, Amount
Held, and Amount Traded in the United States, for the Top Ten
Countries of Investment and the Rest of the World,
as of December 31,
1997.....................................................................................................13
9. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities in Developed Countries
Emerging Markets, and Caribbean Financial Centers, as of March 31,
1994, and December 31,
1997.............................................................................................14
10. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Continent,
as of March 31, 1994, and December 31,
1997..................................................................15
11. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Currency
of Denomination, as of March 31, 1994, and December 31,
1997.......................................16
12. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Remaining
Term to Maturity, as of December 31,
1997.......................................................................17
13. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Country and
Sector of Issuer, as of December 31,
1997.........................................................................18
14. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Industry,
as of December 31,
1997...................................................................................................20
15. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, Net Transactions,
and Changes in Percentage and Valuation, by Type of
Security,
as of December 31, 1997 and
1999....................................................................................22
16. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Securities, as of December 31, 1997 and 1999............................23
17. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Equity Securities, as of December 31, 1997
and
1999............................................................................................................................24
18. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, as of
December 31, 1997 and
1999............................................................................................25
Appendixes
A. Statistical Tables
A.1. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Sector of
Issuer, as of December 31,
1997.....................................................................................30.
- ii -
A.2. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Total Held,
Amount Traded in U.S. Markets, and ADRs, as of
December 31, 1997............................33
A.3. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Equity Securities, by Type of Security,
as of December 31,
1997.................................................................................................36
A.4. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Type of
Security, as of December 31,
1997...................................................................................40
B. Forms and Instructions
- iii -
Introduction
This report presents data and analyses regarding U.S. portfolio investment in foreign equity and debt securities.1 The data are drawn primarily from the latest comprehensive benchmark survey of U.S. holdings of foreign long-term securities as of December 31, 1997. The survey was a joint undertaking of the U.S. Treasury Department and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This information has been supplemented and updated with transactions data from the Treasury International Capital (TIC) reporting system to present information on U.S. foreign portfolio investment as of December 31, 1999, whenever possible.
The 1997 benchmark survey collected detailed information at the individual security level for equity and long-term debt (original term-to-maturity in excess of one year) securities. It is therefore possible to present findings from the survey in a wide variety of ways, such as by country, type of security, currency, remaining term to maturity, industry, and so forth. The TIC system, however, collects information only by country and security type (equity or debt); thus, the more recent information presented as of year-end 1999 is not as detailed as the information presented as of year-end 1997.
The 1997 survey was the second such survey conducted by the United States.2 The previous survey collected data as of March 31, 1994. The United States began to conduct these surveys as the level of U.S. investment in foreign securities started to grow significantly in the 1990s. The next such survey will collect data as of year-end 2001. The United States plans to conduct portfolio asset surveys at least once every three years starting with the 2001 survey.
The 1997 survey was part of an internationally coordinated effort under the auspices of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).3 Twenty-nine countries, including most of the industrial countries, participated in the survey.4 This coordinated effort was undertaken primarily because there was a wide discrepancy between worldwide measured portfolio assets and worldwide measured portfolio liabilities, with reported liabilities greatly exceeding reported assets. A major
_________________
1. Portfolio investment is defined as ownership or control, by one person or an affiliated group, of less than 10 percent of the voting equity of a business enterprise.
2. The Treasury Department conducted a survey during World War II of all foreign assets owned by U.S. residents as of May 1943. Though this survey measured portfolio investment as well as other forms of investment, it is sufficiently removed in time and different in purpose that it is fair to state that the 1994 survey is the first of its kind. For the 1994 survey results, see Department of the Treasury, 1994 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Ownership of Foreign Securities, July 1998.
3. International Monetary Fund, Results of the 1997 Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey, January 31, 2000.
4. Participating countries were Argentina, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Bermuda, Canada, Chile, Denmark, Finland, France, Iceland, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Thailand, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Venezuela.
- 1 -
reason for the asset undercount was perceived to be that many countries had been placing greater emphasis on measuring portfolio liabilities than on measuring portfolio assets out of concern that foreign investment in their economies might expose them to influences beyond their direct control. Typically, the world's major industrial countries have begun to conduct portfolio asset surveys only during the past ten years, and many have begun their efforts as a result of the coordinated survey. The U.S. asset survey as of year-end 2001 will also be part of an IMF-coordinated effort. This survey will measure U.S. holdings of both long-term and short-term securities
The primary reason for conducting portfolio asset surveys is to determine the level of U.S. holdings of foreign securities. The TIC reporting system measures purchases and sales of foreign securities on a monthly basis. In theory, all such transactions are measured by this system, as U.S. regulations require that all major transactions in foreign securities should be reported to the TIC reporting system. However, as international communications have become more efficient and less expensive, this has enabled an ever-increasing number of U.S. investors to participate directly in foreign securities markets. As the number of intermittent, less-predictable participants has increased, the likelihood that some transactions will not be recorded also has increased. The results of the past two asset surveys seem to indicate this, as the 1994 survey measured foreign holdings some 60 percent higher than predicted based on price-adjusted and exchange-rate- adjusted TIC transactions data, and the 1997 survey measured holdings 21 percent higher. These survey findings have had the effect of reducing the estimated deficits in the U.S. balance of payments accounts and international investment position. The U.S. international investment position was revised as of year-end 1997 as a result of the survey, such that the U.S. net debtor position was decreased $293 billion. The U.S. balance of payments deficit for 1997 was reduced more than $10 billion as a result of the survey because of increased estimates of interest and dividends received from foreign securities by U.S. residents.
Chapter 1 of this report presents the 1997 survey findings. Chapter 2 combines these data with price-adjusted and exchange-rate-adjusted TIC transactions data to present estimated U.S. holdings of foreign securities as of year-end 1999. Chapter 3 discusses survey methodology. Appendix A presents a variety of statistics not elsewhere included in the report. Appendix B contains a copy of the forms and instructions used by the survey.
The Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve Board wish to express their appreciation to all survey respondents whose efforts and information have made this report possible.
-2 -
Chapter 1. Findings from the 1997 Survey
The data presented in this chapter are drawn primarily from the survey of U.S. holdings of foreign long-term securities (original term to maturity of more than one year) conducted as of December 31, 1997. Data from the previous such survey--conducted as of March 31, 1994--are also frequently included. In all tables in this report, components may not sum to totals because of rounding.
Level of Investment by Country and Type of Security
Table 1 shows U.S. foreign portfolio investment in long-term securities by country and type of investment (equity or debt). One hundred sixty-four countries attracted at least some U.S. investment. The table shows only those regions that attracted at least $500,000 in U.S. investment.
The table shows a strong preference by U.S. investors for foreign equity securities as opposed to debt securities, with $1,208 billion invested in equities and $547 billion invested in debt securities. The previous survey showed a similar preference on the part of U.S. investors, with more than 65 percent of measured investment occurring in equities. This is in marked contrast to the pattern of foreign portfolio investment in the United States as of December 31, 1997, when only 33 percent of foreign investment is in equity securities.5
However, U.S. investors have not always preferred foreign equities over debt securities. The survey conducted by the United States during World War II found that equities accounted for only 38 percent of U.S. foreign securities holdings. Bringing these figures forward to 1984 by using price- and exchange-rate-adjusted transactions data showed that in 1984 only 29 percent of U.S. foreign securities holdings were in equities. But after 1984, U.S. investors began to favor foreign equities over debt securities, and by 1987, the levels of debt and equity held were essentially equal.
Though U.S. portfolio investment is widespread, it is also highly concentrated, with approximately 67 percent of total investment occurring in only ten countries. Table 2 shows U.S. investment in these ten countries. Five countries attracted more than $100 billion in U.S. investment; twenty-seven countries had at least $10 billion; and fifty-four countries had at least $1 billion.
The United Kingdom was the country of choice for U.S. investors as of the date of the survey, with some $272 billion in U.S. investment. Canada finished a distant second with $177 billion in U.S. investment, followed by Japan, the Netherlands, and Germany.
_________________
5. See U.S. Department of the Treasury, Report on Foreign Portfolio Investment in the United States as of December 31, 1997.
- 3 -
Table 1. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities,
by Country and Type of Security, as
of
December 31, 1997
Millions of dollars
Country or entity |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
Country or entity |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
| Albania | 32 | 0 | 32 | Costa Rica | 165 | 0 | 165 |
| Andorra | 14 | 5 | 9 | Cote d'Ivoire | 459 | 2 | 456 |
| Argentina | 38,567 | 12,892 | 25,675 | Croatia | 496 | 126 | 370 |
| Aruba | 22 | 11 | 11 | Cyprus | 322 | 120 | 202 |
| Australia | 46,999 | 31,120 | 15,879 | Czech Republic | 809 | 763 | 45 |
| Austria | 5,662 | 3,707 | 1,954 | Denmark | 16,758 | 8,917 | 7,841 |
| Bahamas | 911 | 568 | 342 | Dominica | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Bangladesh | 7 | 7 | 0 | Dominican Republic | 87 | 0 | 87 |
| Barbados | 17 | 1 | 16 | Ecuador | 2,032 | 98 | 1,934 |
| Belarus | 3 | 1 | 2 | Egypt | 832 | 763 | 69 |
| Belgium | 9,169 | 6,099 | 3,070 | El Salvador | 50 | 39 | 12 |
| Belize | 34 | 29 | 5 | Estonia | 27 | 17 | 10 |
| Bermuda | 26,607 | 22,617 | 3,989 | Finland | 20,715 | 14,785 | 5,930 |
| Bolivia | 12 | 0 | 12 | France | 99,752 | 85,019 | 14,733 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
3 | 0 | 3 | Gambia | 32 | 0 | 32 |
| Botswana | 148 | 131 | 16 | Germany | 108,414 | 64,965 | 43,449 |
| Brazil | 51,656 | 31,338 | 20,318 | Ghana | 358 | 358 | 0 |
| British Virgin Islands | 1,139 | 698 | 440 | Greece | 2,741 | 1,513 | 1,228 |
| Bulgaria | 1,310 | 0 | 1,310 | Guadeloupe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Burma | 142 | 3 | 139 | Guatemala | 193 | 2 | 191 |
| Cambodia | 1 | 1 | 0 | Guernsey | 450 | 378 | 72 |
| Cameroon | 4 | 0 | 4 | Honduras | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| Canada | 177,473 | 70,798 | 106,675 | Hong Kong | 31,628 | 28,102 | 3,526 |
| Cayman Islands | 19,247 | 5,612 | 13,635 | Hungary | 4,846 | 3,483 | 1,363 |
| Chile | 8,127 | 4,555 | 3,571 | Iceland | 309 | 3 | 306 |
| China | 5,434 | 2,256 | 3,178 | India | 8,138 | 6,176 | 1,962 |
| Colombia | 4,163 | 704 | 3,458 | Indonesia | 4,344 | 2,488 | 1,857 |
| Comoros | 21 | 2 | 19 | International organizations |
16,975 | 10 | 16,965 |
| Congo (Brazzaville) | 13 | 0 | 13 | Ireland | 17,609 | 14,090 | 3,519 |
| Cook Islands | 1 | 1 | 0 | Isle of Man | 9 | 9 | 0 |
- 4 -
Table 1. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities,
by Country and Type of Security, as
of
December 31, 1997 (Continued)
Millions of dollars
Country or entity |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
Country or entity |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
| Israel | 12,298 | 7,036 | 5,262 | New Caledonia | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Italy | 59,171 | 41,547 | 17,624 | New Zealand | 8,817 | 5,311 | 3,506 |
| Jamaica | 329 | 3 | 326 | Nicaragua | 76 | 0 | 76 |
| Japan | 166,758 | 136,404 | 30,354 | Norway | 14,267 | 9,493 | 4,773 |
| Jersey | 1,555 | 1,517 | 37 | Pakistan | 1,521 | 1,180 | 341 |
| Jordan | 218 | 40 | 179 | Palau | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kazakhstan | 121 | 1 | 120 | Panama | 6,594 | 3,556 | 3,039 |
| Kenya | 36 | 19 | 17 | Papua New Guinea | 174 | 165 | 9 |
| Kiribati | 24 | 0 | 24 | Paraguay | 81 | 0 | 81 |
| Korea (South) | 15,262 | 4,428 | 10,834 | Peru | 3545 | 2,341 | 1,203 |
| Latvia | 4 | 4 | 0 | Philippines | 7,326 | 2,848 | 4,479 |
| Lebanon | 814 | 133 | 680 | Poland | 4,495 | 1,618 | 2,877 |
| Lesotho | 73 | 70 | 3 | Portugal | 8,233 | 6,993 | 1,240 |
| Liberia | 1,400 | 924 | 476 | Romania | 211 | 4 | 207 |
| Liechtenstein | 5 | 5 | 0 | Russia | 12,153 | 8,457 | 3,696 |
| Lithuania | 41 | 14 | 27 | Sao Tome and Principe |
33 | 0 | 33 |
| Luxembourg | 8,289 | 5,345 | 2,944 | Senegal | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Macedonia | 20 | 0 | 20 | Serbia and Montenegro |
13 | 0 | 13 |
| Madagascar | 2 | 1 | 1 | Seychelles | 54 | 8 | 46 |
| Malaysia | 9,077 | 4,713 | 4,365 | Sierra Leone | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Malta | 148 | 0 | 148 | Singapore | 10,735 | 10,185 | 550 |
| Marshall Islands | 35 | 0 | 35 | Slovakia | 184 | 87 | 97 |
| Mauritius | 730 | 65 | 666 | Slovenia | 224 | 56 | 168 |
| Mexico | 63,752 | 34,965 | 28,786 | Somalia | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Moldova | 39 | 0 | 39 | South Africa | 12,541 | 9,937 | 2,604 |
| Morocco | 561 | 217 | 344 | Spain | 32,146 | 25,223 | 6,922 |
| Namibia | 132 | 130 | 2 | Sri Lanka | 193 | 133 | 60 |
| Nauru | 1 | 1 | 0 | Suriname | 46 | 46 | 0 |
| Netherlands | 120,150 | 106,984 | 13,166 | Swaziland | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Netherlands Antilles | 17,002 | 15,809 | 1,193 | Sweden | 51,886 | 38,783 | 13,102 |
- 5 -
Table 1. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities,
by Country and Type of Security, as
of
December 31, 1997 (Continued)
Millions of dollars
Country or entity |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
Country or entity |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
| Switzerland | 63,141 | 61,897 | 1,243 | United Kingdom | 271,680 | 217,525 | 54,155 |
| Taiwan | 6,227 | 4,939 | 1,288 | Unknown country | 781 | 335 | 446 |
| Thailand | 5,623 | 2,158 | 3,466 | Uruguay | 612 | 15 | 598 |
| Tokelau Islands | 20 | 0 | 20 | Venezuela | 7,827 | 1,975 | 5,852 |
| Tonga | 50 | 0 | 50 | Vietnam | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| Trinidad and Tobago | 464 | 1 | 463 | Zambia | 9 | 7 | 2 |
| Tunisia | 280 | 0 | 280 | Zimbabwe | 169 | 133 | 36 |
| Turkey | 7,011 | 6,005 | 1,005 | African oil exporters1 | 843 | 61 | 782 |
| Turks and Caicos Islands |
420 | 384 | 35 | Middle East oil exporters2 |
515 | 84 | 430 |
| Uganda | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Ukraine | 91 | 61 | 29 | Total | 1,755,014 | 1,207,787 | 547,228 |
1. Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria.
2. Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
In this report, data for Hong Kong are presented separately from those for China, and data for the islands of Jersey, Guernsey, and the Isle of Man are presented separately from those of the United Kingdom. U.S. holdings of debt issued by international organizations represent issues primarily of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (World Bank), the Inter-American Development Bank, the African Development Bank, and the European Investment Bank.
U.S. Portfolio Investment by Country in Descending Order
Geography obviously influences the pattern of U.S. foreign investment, with both Canada and Mexico attracting a greater percentage of U.S. investment than would be expected based solely on the size of their capital markets. The level of U.S. investment in Canadian debt securities is noteworthy, as the $107 billion figure represents approximately 20 percent of U.S. foreign debt holdings. This is strongly influenced by the tendency of Canadian institutions to issue their debt securities directly in the United States. Approximately $68 billion of the Canadian debt figure represents securities issued directly in the United States, the majority of which were denominated in U.S. dollars.
- 6 -
Table 2. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Type of
Security, for the Top Ten
Countries
of Investment and the Rest of the World, as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
| Country |
|
|
|
Rank according to |
| United Kingdom | 272 |
218 |
54 |
2 |
| Canada | 177 |
71 |
107 |
7 |
| Japan | 167 |
136 |
30 |
1 |
| Netherlands | 120 |
107 |
13 |
8 |
| Germany | 108 |
65 |
43 |
3 |
| France | 100 |
85 |
15 |
5 |
| Mexico | 64 |
35 |
29 |
17 |
| Switzerland | 63 |
62 |
1 |
6 |
| Italy | 60 |
42 |
18 |
10 |
| Sweden | 52 |
39 |
13 |
13 |
| Rest of world | 573 |
348 |
224 |
... |
| Total | 1,755 |
1,208 |
547 |
... |
... Not applicable.
The Netherlands also appears higher on the list than might be expected. This again is
strongly influenced by the presence of U.S.-traded securities. Many of the largest
American Depositary Receipt (ADR) programs represent shares of Dutch companies, and nearly
half of the $107 billion in U.S.-owned Dutch equities represents holdings of ADRs.6
The ratio of U.S. holdings of Swiss equity ($62 billion) to Swiss debt ($1 billion) is striking. This pattern reflects the fact that relatively little debt has been issued by Swiss firms and Swiss governmental organizations, whereas the Swiss equity market is one of the largest in the world.
The United Kingdom was by far the first choice of U.S. international investors as of the end of 1997, but as table 3 shows, Japan was the country of choice at the time of the previous asset survey, on March 31, 1994.
_________________
6. American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are receipts for shares of stock in foreign companies that are held in a custodial account by or for a U.S. bank. These receipts are traded on U.S. exchanges in U.S. dollars. ADRs entitle the owners to all dividends, capital gains or losses, and voting rights, just as if the underlying shares were owned directly.
- 7 -
Level of Investment by Country, 1994 and 1997
Table 3 shows the rapid growth of U.S. portfolio holdings abroad during the March 1994 to December 1997 period, with U.S. portfolio investment more than doubling in nominal terms over forty-five months. It also shows significant changes in the placement of U.S. portfolio assets, with Japan losing the position it held in 1994 as the country of choice for U.S. portfolio investors. In general, Europe attracted a greater share of U.S. investments in 1997, with the percentage share of total U.S. foreign investments increasing in six of the seven European countries that appear in the table. Also, the pattern of U.S. investment was more diversified in 1997, as the percentage of total U.S. investment placed in countries and regions other than the ten leading countries increased over this period from 27.5 percent to 32.6 percent.
Table 3. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities for the Top Ten
Countries of
Investment
and the Rest of the World, as of March 31, 1994, and December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
Amount invested |
Rank |
Percentage of total |
||||
Country |
1997 |
1994 |
1997 |
1994 |
1997 |
1994 |
| United Kingdom | 272 |
120 |
1 |
2 |
15.5 |
13.7 |
| Canada | 177 |
108 |
2 |
3 |
10.1 |
12.4 |
| Japan | 167 |
131 |
3 |
1 |
9.5 |
15.1 |
| Netherlands | 120 |
48 |
4 |
6 |
6.8 |
5.5 |
| Germany | 108 |
48 |
5 |
5 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
| France | 100 |
42 |
6 |
7 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
| Mexico | 64 |
52 |
7 |
4 |
3.6 |
6.0 |
| Switzerland | 63 |
21 |
8 |
12 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
| Italy | 60 |
32 |
9 |
8 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
| Sweden | 52 |
22 |
10 |
11 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
| Rest of world | 573 |
2391 |
... |
... |
32.6 |
27.51 |
| Total | 1,755 |
870 |
... |
... |
100 |
100 |
... Not applicable.
1. The amount and percentage for "rest of world" were computed using all but the top ten countries as of the 1994 survey rather than the top ten countries as of year-end 1997.
- 8 -
The order in which countries are ranked changed quite a bit during the period between the two surveys; this was due in large part to the performance of local equity markets rather than to changes in the patterns of U.S. investments. Much of the change in rank order was due to Japan's drop from first to third position and Mexico's drop from fourth to seventh. The average share prices in Japan and Mexico decreased during this period, whereas those of Canada and the European countries in table 3 increased significantly.
The rise in the value of U.S. foreign holdings raises the question of the extent to which this increase is attributable to increased net investments rather than to changes caused by adjustments for price or exchange rate or both to existing assets. This question is somewhat difficult to answer because, as mentioned in the introduction, when the accumulated flows since the 1994 survey are adjusted for price and exchange rate and added to the 1994 survey levels, the result is a figure 21 percent lower than the level measured by the 1997 survey. Thus, either the transactions data undercount, or the survey overcounts, or both. Table 4 shows the levels of equity and debt measured by the two surveys; the measured transactions in the period between the two surveys; the applicable price and exchange rate adjustments as computed by the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA); the resulting year-end 1997 position derived by adding the transactions and price adjustments to the 1994 survey results; and the resulting unexplained difference between the estimated and the measured 1997 figures.
Table 4. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Positions,
Adjusted Transactions,
and
Resulting Differences, as of March 31, 1994, and December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars
| Type of security |
|
1994-97 |
1997 |
|||
Net |
Valuation |
Estimated |
Measured |
Difference |
||
| Debt | 304 |
159 |
-18 |
445 | 547 | 102 |
| Equity | 567 |
179 |
255 |
1,001 | 1,208 | 207 |
| Total | 870 |
338 |
238 |
1,446 | 1,755 | 309 |
1. Adjustments for price and exchange rate as computed by BEA.
The table shows that net adjustments to debt were negative; thus all gains in U.S. holdings of foreign debt securities were the result of net purchases during the intersurvey period. For equities, however, there was a significant upward adjustment in the value of these holdings.
As previously stated, the 1994 survey also measured significantly larger holdings of foreign securities by U.S. residents than the value-adjusted transactions data indicated.
- 9 -
U.S. Foreign Portfolio Investment Compared with Foreign Portfolio Investment
in the United States
Both foreign portfolio investment in the United States and U.S. portfolio investment abroad are growing very rapidly; however, foreign portfolio investment in the United States still exceeds U.S. foreign investment by a significant margin (table 5).
Though some of the increase in these cross-border investment figures represents price appreciation, there was also significant new net investment. With respect to foreign investment in the United States, the foreign-held share of U.S. equities increased over the March 1994 to December 1997 period from 5.6 percent to 6.3 percent of the total amount outstanding; and the foreign-held share of U.S. Treasury securities increased over the same period from 19.4 percent to 38.4 percent of the total amount outstanding. Overall, foreigners increased their ownership of total U.S. securities outstanding from 8.9 percent to 12.0 percent during this period.
Table 5. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities and Foreign
Holdings of U.S.
Long-Term Securities, 1984-97
Billions of dollars except as noted
|
U.S. holdings |
Average annual |
Foreign holdings |
Average annual |
| 1984 | 89 |
... |
268 |
... |
| 1989 | 314 |
28.7 |
847 |
25.9 |
| 1994 | 870 |
23.1 |
1,244 |
8.0 |
| 1997 | 1,755 |
25.4 |
2,806 |
31.2 |
- 10 -
U.S. Investment in Foreign Equity Securities
Table 6 shows the leading countries for U.S. equity investment, along with the amount of this investment represented by foreign equities that trade in the United States.
Clearly the propensity for the shares of foreign companies to trade in U.S. securities markets varies widely by country. Canada, the Netherlands, and Mexico have led the way in this respect. Canada represents very much of a special case, however, because the U.S. and Canadian securities exchanges are so closely linked as to create almost a single, integrated market.
The list in table 6 consists of the same ten countries in which U.S. investors placed the most overall portfolio investment shown in table 2, though the order has changed. Canada is fifth on this list but second overall.
Table 6. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Equities, by Country of Investment,
Amount Held, and
Amount
Held in U.S.-Traded Securities, for the Top Ten Countries of Investment
and
the Rest of the World, as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
|
|
|
Percentage |
|
|
| United Kingdom | 218 | 61 | 28 | 59 | 2 |
| Japan | 136 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| Netherlands | 107 | 59 | 55 | 53 | 6 |
| France | 85 | 14 | 16 | 13 | * |
| Canada | 71 | 50 | 71 | 0 | 50 |
| Germany | 65 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| Switzerland | 62 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| Italy | 42 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Sweden | 39 | 10 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| Mexico | 35 | 18 | 51 | 17 | 1 |
| Rest of world | 348 | 117 | 33 | 75 | 41 |
| Total | 1,208 | 358 | 30 | 249 | 110 |
* Less than 0.5.
1. ADR American Depositary Receipts.
- 11 -
U.S. Investment in Foreign Debt Securities
Table 7 shows the leading countries for U.S. investment in foreign debt securities, the amount of this investment represented by foreign debt securities issued in the United States, and the amount denominated in U.S. dollars.
Here we see a very different country list, with Argentina, Brazil, Australia, and international organizations appearing. Canada easily leads the list, in large measure because many Canadian debt securities are issued in the United States and are denominated in U.S. dollars. U.S. holdings of the debt of neighboring Canada and Mexico showed a much stronger tendency to be issued in the United States than was true for the other countries in this table.
U.S. investors showed a clear preference for U.S. dollar-denominated debt from the emerging- market countries. Approximately 88 percent of the debt issued by Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil combined was denominated in U.S. dollars, whereas only 41 percent of the debt held from the six developed countries in table 7 was denominated in U.S. dollars.
Table 7. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by Country,
Amount
Held, Amount Held Issued in the United States, and Amount
Denominated
in U.S. Dollars, for the Top Ten Countries of Investment
and
the Rest of the World, as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars
Country or entity |
|
|
Denominated in |
| Canada | 107 |
68 |
61 |
| United Kingdom | 54 |
7 |
27 |
| Germany | 43 |
1 |
4 |
| Japan | 30 |
1 |
4 |
| Mexico | 29 |
11 |
26 |
| Argentina | 26 |
8 |
22 |
| Brazil | 20 |
2 |
18 |
| Italy | 18 |
3 |
5 |
| International organizations | 17 |
1 |
13 |
| Australia | 16 |
2 |
8 |
| Rest of world | 187 |
43 |
127 |
| Total | 547 |
147 |
315 |
- 12 -
U.S. Investment in Foreign Securities: Total and Amounts Traded in the United States
Table 8 shows U.S. ownership by country of foreign securities, the amount and percentage of these securities that trade on U.S. exchanges, and the amounts of U.S.-traded equity and debt.
A substantial $506 billion, or 29 percent, of all U.S. investment in foreign securities occurred in U.S.-traded securities. For some countries, such as Canada and the Netherlands, the majority of U.S. investment was in U.S.-traded issues. For many other countries the percentage was very small.
Overall, 30 percent of U.S. holdings of foreign equities and 27 percent of U.S. holdings of foreign debt traded on U.S. exchanges.
Table 8. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by Country,
Amount Held,
and Amount Traded in the United States, for the Top Ten Countries of
Investment and the Rest of the World, as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
|
|
U.S.-Traded |
|||
Total |
Percentage |
Equity |
Debt |
||
| United Kingdom | 272 |
68 |
25 |
61 |
7 |
| Canada | 177 |
118 |
67 |
50 |
68 |
| Japan | 167 |
15 |
9 |
14 |
1 |
| Netherlands | 120 |
62 |
52 |
59 |
3 |
| Germany | 108 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
1 |
| France | 100 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
1 |
| Mexico | 64 |
29 |
45 |
18 |
11 |
| Switzerland | 63 |
7 |
11 |
7 |
0 |
| Italy | 59 |
7 |
12 |
4 |
3 |
| Sweden | 52 |
13 |
25 |
10 |
2 |
| Rest of world | 573 |
166 |
29 |
117 |
50 |
| Total | 1,755 |
506 |
29 |
358 |
147 |
- 13 -
U.S. Investment by Type of Market
Table 9 shows U.S. investment levels as of March 31, 1994, and December 31, 1997, in three different types of markets: developed countries, emerging-market countries, and Caribbean financial centers. All amounts are in billions of dollars.
Investment in the twenty-two developed countries accounted for the bulk of U.S. foreign investment at both dates, with 80 percent and 76 percent of the total in 1994 and 1997, respectively. The emerging markets increased their share of the total from 16 percent to 19 percent over this period. However, their share of total U.S. portfolio investment in equities decreased over the same period, from 16 percent of the total to 14 percent. As of the 1997 survey date, 73 percent of U.S. investment in developed countries was in equity securities, whereas only 50 percent of U.S. investment in emerging markets was in equities.
Securities issued through the Caribbean financial centers represent primarily activity of organizations in developed countries that issue in these countries for convenience or tax advantage.
Table 9. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities in Developed
Countries,
Emerging Markets, and the Caribbean Financial Centers, as of
March 31, 1994, and December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars
1994 |
1997 |
|||||
Market |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
| Developed countries1 | 693 |
454 |
240 |
1,342 |
986 |
357 |
| Emerging markets | 143 |
88 |
56 |
341 |
171 |
168 |
| Caribbean financial centers2 | 34 |
25 |
8 |
72 |
51 |
22 |
| Total | 870 |
567 |
304 |
1,755 |
1,208 |
547 |
1. Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.
2. Bahamas, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Netherlands Antilles, and Panama.
- 14 -
U.S. Investment by Continent
Table 10 shows a rather stable pattern of U.S. investment by continent between the two dates, with the only noteworthy change being the 8 percent increase in Europe's share over the period, largely at the expense of Asia's share. On both dates, 95 percent of total U.S. investment was accounted for by Europe, Asia, and the Americas. In Africa, the preponderance of U.S. investment was in South Africa, which attracted $13 billion of the total of $19 billion invested in the continent. The Australia and Oceania line is composed primarily of investment in Australia and New Zealand.
In Europe and Asia the preponderance of U.S. investment is in equities, whereas in the Americas, equity and debt are roughly equal.
Table 10. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by
Continent, as of
March 31, 1994, and December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
| Continent or entity |
1997 |
1994 |
||||||
|
|
Debt |
Percentage |
|
|
|
Percentage |
|
| Europe | 945 |
736 |
209 |
54 |
401 |
271 |
127 |
46 |
| Americas1 | 431 |
209 |
222 |
25 |
233 |
121 |
112 |
27 |
| Asia | 286 |
213 |
73 |
16 |
191 |
150 |
42 |
22 |
| Africa | 19 |
13 |
6 |
1 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
| Australia and Oceania |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| International organizations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total | 1,755 |
1,208 |
547 |
100 |
870 |
567 |
304 |
100 |
1. North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean (including Bermuda).
- 15 -
U.S. Investment in Foreign Debt Securities by Currency of Denomination
Table 11 shows the currency of denomination for foreign debt securities held by U.S. residents. The amounts presented total only to $527 billion for 1997 because accurate information about the currency of the remaining $20 billion of U.S. foreign-held debt was not available.
Table 11. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by
Currency of
Denomination, as of March 31, 1994, and December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
Currency |
1997 |
1994 |
||
Amount |
Percentage |
Amount |
Percentage |
|
| U.S. dollar | 315 |
59.8 |
145 |
47.7 |
| Canadian dollar | 42 |
8.0 |
21 |
5.9 |
| German mark | 40 |
7.6 |
22 |
7.2 |
| Japanese yen | 30 |
5.7 |
30 |
10.0 |
| U.K. pound | 26 |
4.9 |
13 |
4.3 |
| Italian lira | 13 |
2.5 |
13 |
4.5 |
| Australian dollar | 8 |
1.5 |
6 |
2.1 |
| French franc | 8 |
1.5 |
12 |
3.9 |
| Danish krone | 6 |
1.1 |
7 |
2.3 |
| Spanish peseta | 5 |
1.0 |
10 |
3.4 |
| Other currencies | 34 |
6.5 |
25 |
6.7 |
| Total | 527 |
100 |
304 |
100 |
In both surveys, U.S. investors showed a strong preference for foreign debt securities denominated in U.S. dollars, with the percentage increasing to 60 percent in 1997 from 48 percent in 1994. U.S. investment became increasingly concentrated in the currencies of the world's four largest economies (United States, United Kingdom, Japan, and Germany) and neighboring Canada, with more than 86 percent of the total denominated in these currencies as of year-end 1997. The total concentrated in the top ten currencies (all developed countries) rose from 92.3 percent in 1994 to 93.5 percent in 1997. In total, 97.5 percent of U.S. investment was denominated in the currencies of the twenty-one developed countries identified in table 9 (footnote 1) or in U.S. dollars.
- 16 -
Maturity Structure of U.S. Foreign Debt Holdings
Table 12 presents the maturity structure of U.S.-owned foreign-held debt securities. Data from the 1994 survey are not available at the same level of detail as that in the 1997 survey and are therefore presented only in five-year increments. Information about maturity dates was available for $504 billion of the $547 billion in foreign debt held by U.S. investors.
Table 12. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt
Securities, by Remaining Term to
Maturity, as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars except as noted
|
1997 |
|
Remaining term to maturity (years) |
1997 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
||||
| One or less | 25 |
5.0 |
9-10 | 47 |
9.3 |
||
| 1-2 | 37 |
7.3 |
5-10 | 181 |
36.0 |
34.0 |
|
| 2-3 | 33 |
6.6 |
10-15 | 29 |
5.8 |
||
| 3-4 | 42 |
8.3 |
15-20 | 32 |
6.3 |
||
| 4-5 | 52 |
10.4 |
10-20 | 61 |
12.1 |
14.7 |
|
| 5 or less | 190 |
37.6 |
36.1 |
20-25 | 21 |
4.2 |
|
| 5-6 | 34 |
6.6 |
25-30 | 39 |
7.6 |
||
| 6-7 | 34 |
6.7 |
20-30 | 59 |
11.8 |
12.2 |
|
| 7-8 | 30 |
5.9 |
More than 301 | 13 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
|
| 8-9 | 38 |
7.4 |
|||||
1. Excludes perpetual bonds.
The maturity structure of U.S.-owned foreign-debt holdings was quite similar at the two
survey dates, although the average maturity shortened slightly, with 74 percent of all
holdings in 1997 maturing in ten years or less compared with 70 percent in 1994.
Investment is distributed fairly evenly in securities that mature in ten years or less and
falls off sharply beyond ten years
- 17 -
U.S. Holdings of Foreign Private and Government Debt
In table 13, "government" refers to issues of the central government as well as those of local and provincial governments. The debt of government-sponsored corporations and other quasi- governmental organizations are included in the private column.
Table 13. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Debt Securities, by
Country and
Sector of Issuer, as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars
Country |
Total |
Government |
Private |
| Canada | 106 |
63 |
43 |
| United Kingdom | 54 |
20 |
34 |
| Germany | 43 |
34 |
9 |
| Japan | 30 |
16 |
14 |
| Mexico | 29 |
11 |
18 |
| Argentina | 25 |
14 |
11 |
| Brazil | 20 |
8 |
12 |
| Italy | 18 |
16 |
2 |
| Australia | 16 |
8 |
7 |
| France | 15 |
7 |
8 |
| Rest of world | 187 |
83 |
105 |
| Total | 543 |
280 |
263 |
Note: The debt figures given above are less than the total amount of debt measured by the survey as only debt for which the issuer sector was known is included in this table.
U.S. investors held approximately equal amounts of foreign private and government debt issues. For the leading countries shown in table 13, the percentages did not vary significantly by region, and both developed and emerging countries showed the same general distribution. Notable exceptions were Italy and Germany, where U.S. investors held primarily government debt securities. In 1994, U.S. investors showed a stronger preference for foreign government securities, holding 62 percent of their foreign debt in that form, compared with 52 percent in 1997.
- 18 -
U.S. Ownership of Foreign Securities by Industry
Unfortunately, the survey had difficulty obtaining information about the industry classification of many foreign securities. Overall, information was available for only 60 percent of the total value of U.S.-held foreign securities. Thus, the classification presented in table 14 may well present a somewhat misleading picture, as the securities that attracted the most U.S. investment were researched with greater effort than those attracting less attention. Some industries have large, well-known companies that attract a great deal of investment and are correspondingly easy to classify. Other industries, characterized by many smaller, less well known firms, received less attention and were more likely to remain uncategorized.
Industry category information was available for 57 percent of equity securities. Of these categorized equities, more than 40 percent of the total was concentrated in four areas: oil and gas extraction ($86 billion), wired and cellular communications ($76 billion), depository institutions (primarily banks, $65 billion), and pharmaceuticals and medicines ($59 billion).
Approximately 69 percent of the total U.S.-held debt securities were categorized by industry. Of these, almost 80 percent were easily classified issues of governmental organizations. The vast majority of the government debt was issued by foreign central governments. Almost all of the unclassified debt was issued by the foreign private sector.
- 19 -
Table 14. U.S. Holdings of Foreign Long-Term Securities, by
Industry,
as of December 31, 1997
Billions of dollars
Industry |
Total |
Equity |
Debt |
| Manufacturing | 238 |
226 |
12 |
| Aerospace | 2 |
2 |
* |
| Beverages | 15 |
14 |
1 |
| Cars and trucks | 19 |
18 |
1 |
| Chemicals | 17 |
16 |
1 |
| Clothing, textiles, and shoes | 4 |
4 |
* |
| Computers and related products | 4 |
4 |
* |
| Construction equipment | 5 |
5 |
* |
| Electrical and electrical equipment except computers | 39 |
37 |
2 |
| Food and kindred products | 14 |
14 |
* |
| Industrial machinery | 4 |
4 |
* |
| Lumber and wood products | 1 |
* |
1 |
| Paper and allied products | 8 |
7 |
1 |
| Petroleum refining and related industries | 7 |
5 |
2 |
| Pharmaceuticals and medicines | 59 |
59 |
* |
| Printing and publishing equipment | 1 |
1 |
* |
| Rubber and plastic products | 3 |
2 |
* |
| Steel | 5 |
5 |
1 |
| Tobacco products | 6 |
6 |
* |
| Miscellaneous manufacturing | 25 |
23 |
2 |
Transportation and utilities |
|
|
|
| Air transportation | 4 |
4 |
* |
| Ground transportation | 1 |
1 |
* |
| Rail transportation | 4 |
3 |
1 |
| Water transportation | 4 |
4 |
1 |
| Electrical power generation and transmission | 31 |
19 |
12 |
| Oil and natural gas distribution | 11 |
8 |
3 |
| Other transportation and utilities | 4 |
3 |
1 |
Financial services |
|